Final 95th Academy Awards Predictions

Written by Andreas Babiolakis

academy awards predictions

You’ve read my spiel on all things related to the 95th Academy Awards. Now, I’m just laying out my predictions of all the winners (a few have changed since I first started ranking each category and making educated guesses at the start of the awards season). Here are the nominees I think will win each category.

BEST PICTURE

All Quiet on the Western Front
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
Tár
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking

BEST DIRECTOR

The Banshees of Inisherin-Martin McDonagh
Everything Everywhere All at Once-Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans-Steven Spielberg
Tár-Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness-Ruben Östlund

BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett-Tár
Ana de Armas-Blonde
Andrea Riseborough-To Leslie
Michelle Williams-The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh-Everything Everywhere All at Once

BEST ACTOR

Austin Butler-Elvis
Colin Farrel-The Banshees of Inisherin
Brendan Fraser-The Whale
Paul Mescal-Aftersun
Bill Nighy-Living

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Angela Bassett-Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Hong Chau-The Whale
Kerry Condon-The Banshees of Inisherin
Jamie Lee Curtis-Everything Everywhere All at Once
Stephanie Hsu-Everything Everywhere All at Once

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Brendan Gleeson-The Banshees of Inisherin
Brian Tyree Henry-Causeway
Judd Hirsh-The Fabelmans
Barry Keoghan-The Banshees of Inisherin
Ke Huy Quan-Everything Everywhere All at Once

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

All Quiet on the Western Front-Screenplay: Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery-Written by Rian Johnson
Living-Written by Kazuo Ishiguro
Top Gun: Maverick-Screenplay by Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie, Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks
Women Talking-Screenplay by Sarah Polley

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Banshees of Inisherin-Written by Martin McDonaugh
Everything Everywhere All at Once-Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert
The Fabelmans-Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner
Tár-Written by Todd Field
Triangle of Sadness-Written by Ruben Östlund

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

All Quiet on the Western Front-Germany
Argentina, 1985-Argentina
Close-Belgium
EO-Poland
The Quiet Girl-Ireland

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
A House Made of Splinters
Navalny

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
The Sea Beast
Turning Red

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

An Irish Goodbye
Ivalu
Le pupille
Night Ride
The Red Suitcase

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

The Elephant Whisperers
Haulout
How Do You Measure a Year?
The Martha Mitchell Effect
Stranger at the Gate

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse
The Flying Sailor
Ice Merchants
My Year of Dicks
An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

All Quiet on the Western Front-James Friend
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths-Darius Khondji
Elvis-Mandy Walker
Empire of Light-Roger Deakins
Tár-Florian Hoffmeister

BEST FILM EDITING

The Banshees of Inisherin-Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
Elvis-Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond
Everything Everywhere All at Once-Paul Rogers
Tár-Monika Willi
Top Gun: Maverick-Eddie Hamilton

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

All Quiet on the Western Front-Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank, and Kamil Jafar
Avatar: The Way of Water-Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Sandon, and Daniel Barrett
The Batman-Dan Lemmon, Russel Earl, Anders Langlands, and Dominic Tuohy
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever-Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White, and Dan Sudick
Top Gun: Maverick-Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson, and Scott R. Fisher

BEST SOUND

All Quiet on the Western Front-Viktor Prášil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, Lars Ginzel, and Stefan Korte
Avatar: The Way of Water-Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers, and Michael Hedges
The Batman-Stuart Wilson, Willian Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson
Elvis-David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson, and Michael Keller
Top Gun: Maverick-Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon, and Mark Taylor

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

All Quiet on the Western Front-Volker Bertelmann
Babylon-Justin Hurwitz
The Banshees of Inisherin-Carter Burwell
Everything Everywhere All at Once-Son Lux
The Fabelmans-John Williams

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Applause” from Tell it Like a Woman-Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
”Hold my Hand” from Top Gun: Maverick-Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga and BloodPop
”Lift me Up” from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever-Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler and Ludwig Goransson, Lyric by Tems and Ryan Coogler
”Naatu Naatu” from RRR-Music by M.M. Keeravaani, Lyric by Chandrabose
”This is a Life” from Everything Everywhere All at Once-Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne and Mitski, Lyric by Ryan Lott and David Byrne

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

All Quiet on the Western Front-Production Design: Christian M. Goldbeck, Set Decoration: Ernestine Hipper
Avatar: The Way of Water-Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter, Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole
Babylon-Production Design: Florencia Martin, Set Decoration: Anthony Carilino
Elvis-Production Design: Catherine Martin and Karen Murphy, Set Decoration: Bev Dunn
The Fabelmans-Production Design: Rick Carter, Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Babylon-Mary Zophres
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever-Ruth Carter
Elvis-Catherine Martin
Everything Everywhere All at Once-Shirley Kurata
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris-Jenny Beavan

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

All Quiet on the Western Front-Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová
The Batman-Naomi Donne, Mike Marino, and Mike Fontaine
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever-Camille Friend and Joel Harlow
Elvis-Mark Coulier, Jason Baird, and Aldo Signoretti
The Whale-Adrien Morot, Judy Chin, and Anne Marie Bradley

Andreas Babiolakis has a Masters degree in Film and Photography Preservation and Collections Management from Toronto Metropolitan University, as well as a Bachelors degree in Cinema Studies from York University. His favourite times of year are the Criterion Collection flash sales and the annual Toronto International Film Festival.

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